El Niño Observatory
El Niño conditions are present and being monitored · Niño 3.4 +2.1 °C

El Niño Observatory Monitored cities RS Santa Maria

El Niño in Santa MariaRS · Brazil

Current El Niño risk

Attention level: HighCritical · Flooding / extreme rain5 day(s) with heavy rain in a flood-prone zone

Santa Maria is inside the projected impact zone Southern Brazil, Uruguay & NE Argentina.

A strengthened subtropical jet brings persistent extreme rainfall. The 2023-24 Rio Grande do Sul floods are the canonical signature.

Next 14 days in Santa Maria

6 of the next 14 days show a 60%+ chance of rain; 5 with heavy rain.

% is the chance of rain that day. The word shows how strong that rain should be. Tap a day for details. Depth is indicative, based on rainfall intensity, not an official flood forecast.

River flood risk: GloFAS model: river flow near you is forecast to run slightly elevated vs recent levels. (Modeled river-flow estimate (GloFAS global flood model), not an official flood warning.)

Local news Santa Maria

Recent coverage that mentions your area and this season's weather risks.

Local videos Santa Maria

Recent local coverage and preparedness clips for your area.

Areas with flood history in Santa Maria

Vila Urlândia

Vila Urlândia

recurring floods linked to Arroio Cadena and urban floods

Vila Lídia

Vila Lídia

floods and bank erosion associated with Arroio Cadena

Vila Oliveira

Vila Oliveira

floods and bank erosion in Arroio Cadena floods

Passo das Tropas

Passo das Tropas

recurring floods in low-lying area and near watercourses

Vila Kennedy

Vila Kennedy

erosion and bank slippage in areas linked to Arroio Cadena

Renascença

Renascença

floods in residences due to storm drain collapse

Sources: [1] [2] [3] [4] · Images: Google Street View. They show the street on a normal day, not during a flood. AI-generated list using web search (Perplexity Sonar) from news and public sources. Use as a starting reference, not an official risk map.

What you should do

  • Learn your neighborhood's flood-prone streets and the fastest route to higher ground.
  • Never walk or drive through floodwater: 15 cm of moving water can knock you down.
  • Keep documents, medication and chargers in a waterproof bag, ready to grab.
  • Sign up for your city's official rain/flood alerts (SMS or app) today.
  • Always follow your national meteorological service and local civil defense. Their warnings override anything on this page.

Emergency kit: what to have ready

Emergency numbers

Numbers are national defaults; some regions use local variants. Confirm with local authorities.

Official monitoring agencies

INMET

National weather service

Visit

Defesa Civil Nacional

Civil defense and emergencies

Visit

CEMADEN

Climate and disaster monitoring

Visit

CPTEC / INPE

Climate and disaster monitoring

Visit

NOAA Climate Prediction Center

Global ENSO reference

Visit

IRI, Columbia University

Global ENSO reference

Visit

Get alerts for your city

We watch the data so you don't have to. Get an email when a flood signal or a major El Niño change affects your area.

Frequently asked questions

Is Santa Maria affected by El Niño?

Yes. Santa Maria sits in the documented impact zone Southern Brazil, Uruguay & NE Argentina: A strengthened subtropical jet brings persistent extreme rainfall. The 2023-24 Rio Grande do Sul floods are the canonical signature.

Will it rain in Santa Maria in the coming days?

The current 14-day forecast shows 6 days with a 60%+ chance of rain and 5 days with heavy rain. Probabilities update every 6 hours.

What should residents of Santa Maria do?

Learn your neighborhood's flood-prone streets and the fastest route to higher ground. Never walk or drive through floodwater: 15 cm of moving water can knock you down. Always follow your national meteorological service and local civil defense. Their warnings override anything on this page.

Other cities in Brazil

AracajuBalneário CamboriúBelémBelo HorizonteBlumenauBoa VistaBrasíliaCampo GrandeCascavelCaxias do Sul

Data refreshes every 6 hours. Forecast: Open-Meteo. Zone risk: NOAA data and documented El Niño patterns.

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