El Niño Observatory
El Niño conditions are present and being monitored · Niño 3.4 +1.3 °C

El Niño Observatory Monitored cities Belém

El Niño in BelémPA · Brazil

Current El Niño risk

Attention level: HighCritical · Drought / heat / fire risk2 day(s) with heavy rain in a flood-prone zone

Belém is inside the projected impact zone Amazon & Northeast Brazil.

Suppressed convection brings severe drought, record-low rivers, fires and crop failure across the Amazon basin and the semi-arid Northeast.

Next 14 days in Belém

13 of the next 14 days show a 60%+ chance of rain; 2 with heavy rain.

Wed
10
100%
6mm
Thu
11
100%
17mm
Fri
12
60%
2mm
Sat
13
100%
4mm
Sun
14
97%
3mm
Mon
15
96%
1mm
Tue
16
79%
2mm
Wed
17
74%
2mm
Thu
18
91%
12mm
Fri
19
91%
2mm
Sat
20
71%
·
Sun
21
78%
3mm
Mon
22
71%
·
Tue
23
56%
·

% is the chance of rain that day. mm is the expected amount.

Areas with flood history in Belém

  • Pedreira: Repeatedly cited in reports as one of Belém's most flood-prone neighborhoods
  • Jurunas: Low-lying area repeatedly hit by street flooding in heavy rains
  • Cremação: Historic flood hotspot near Quintino Bocaiúva basin with slow drainage
  • Marco: Chronic flooding near canals and low areas, especially Vileta and Timbó
  • Avenida João Paulo II: Fast water buildup interrupts traffic in Curió-Utinga after heavy rain
  • Avenida Almirante Barroso: Frequent water pools and flooding near São Brás and the bus terminal

Sources: [1] [2] [3] [4]

AI-generated list using web search (Perplexity Sonar) from news and public sources. Use as a starting reference, not an official risk map.

What you should do

  • Store drinking water and cut non-essential use now, before restrictions arrive.
  • Never burn waste or vegetation: fire risk is sharply elevated in dry spells.
  • If you depend on agriculture, plan for reduced rainfall this season.
  • Watch for water-rationing announcements from your utility.
  • Always follow your national meteorological service and local civil defense. Their warnings override anything on this page.

Emergency kit: what to have ready

Emergency numbers

Numbers are national defaults; some regions use local variants. Confirm with local authorities.

Get alerts for your city

We watch the data so you don't have to. Get an email when a flood signal or a major El Niño change affects your area.

Frequently asked questions

Is Belém affected by El Niño?

Yes. Belém sits in the documented impact zone Amazon & Northeast Brazil: Suppressed convection brings severe drought, record-low rivers, fires and crop failure across the Amazon basin and the semi-arid Northeast.

Will it rain in Belém in the coming days?

The current 14-day forecast shows 13 days with a 60%+ chance of rain and 2 days with heavy rain. Probabilities update every 6 hours.

What should residents of Belém do?

Store drinking water and cut non-essential use now, before restrictions arrive. Never burn waste or vegetation: fire risk is sharply elevated in dry spells. Always follow your national meteorological service and local civil defense. Their warnings override anything on this page.

Other cities in Brazil

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Data refreshes every 6 hours. Forecast: Open-Meteo. Zone risk: NOAA data and documented El Niño patterns.

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