El Niño Observatory
El Niño conditions are present and being monitored · Niño 3.4 +2.1 °C

El Niño Observatory Monitored cities RS Caxias do Sul

El Niño in Caxias do SulRS · Brazil

Current El Niño risk

Attention level: HighCritical · Flooding / extreme rain3 day(s) with heavy rain in a flood-prone zone

Caxias do Sul is inside the projected impact zone Southern Brazil, Uruguay & NE Argentina.

A strengthened subtropical jet brings persistent extreme rainfall. The 2023-24 Rio Grande do Sul floods are the canonical signature.

Next 14 days in Caxias do Sul

4 of the next 14 days show a 60%+ chance of rain; 3 with heavy rain.

% is the chance of rain that day. The word shows how strong that rain should be. Tap a day for details. Depth is indicative, based on rainfall intensity, not an official flood forecast.

River flood risk: GloFAS model: river flow near you is forecast to run high vs recent levels. (Modeled river-flow estimate (GloFAS global flood model), not an official flood warning.)

Local news Caxias do Sul

Recent coverage that mentions your area and this season's weather risks.

Local videos Caxias do Sul

Recent local coverage and preparedness clips for your area.

Areas with flood history in Caxias do Sul

Galópolis

Galópolis

neighborhood most affected in the May 2024 rains, with floods and damage

Santa Catarina

Santa Catarina

recurring record of floods in historical studies of the municipality

Pio X

Pio X

appears among the neighborhoods with the most historical occurrences of flooding

Nossa Senhora de Fátima

Nossa Senhora de Fátima

appears among the neighborhoods with the most historical occurrences of flooding

São José

São José

appears among the neighborhoods with the most historical occurrences of flooding

Rua da Vitória

Rua da Vitória

flooded due to drainage overflow in the Cânion neighborhood

Sources: [1] [2] [3] [4] · Images: Google Street View. They show the street on a normal day, not during a flood. AI-generated list using web search (Perplexity Sonar) from news and public sources. Use as a starting reference, not an official risk map.

What you should do

  • Learn your neighborhood's flood-prone streets and the fastest route to higher ground.
  • Never walk or drive through floodwater: 15 cm of moving water can knock you down.
  • Keep documents, medication and chargers in a waterproof bag, ready to grab.
  • Sign up for your city's official rain/flood alerts (SMS or app) today.
  • Always follow your national meteorological service and local civil defense. Their warnings override anything on this page.

Emergency kit: what to have ready

Emergency numbers

Numbers are national defaults; some regions use local variants. Confirm with local authorities.

Official monitoring agencies

INMET

National weather service

Visit

Defesa Civil Nacional

Civil defense and emergencies

Visit

CEMADEN

Climate and disaster monitoring

Visit

CPTEC / INPE

Climate and disaster monitoring

Visit

NOAA Climate Prediction Center

Global ENSO reference

Visit

IRI, Columbia University

Global ENSO reference

Visit

Get alerts for your city

We watch the data so you don't have to. Get an email when a flood signal or a major El Niño change affects your area.

Frequently asked questions

Is Caxias do Sul affected by El Niño?

Yes. Caxias do Sul sits in the documented impact zone Southern Brazil, Uruguay & NE Argentina: A strengthened subtropical jet brings persistent extreme rainfall. The 2023-24 Rio Grande do Sul floods are the canonical signature.

Will it rain in Caxias do Sul in the coming days?

The current 14-day forecast shows 4 days with a 60%+ chance of rain and 3 days with heavy rain. Probabilities update every 6 hours.

What should residents of Caxias do Sul do?

Learn your neighborhood's flood-prone streets and the fastest route to higher ground. Never walk or drive through floodwater: 15 cm of moving water can knock you down. Always follow your national meteorological service and local civil defense. Their warnings override anything on this page.

Other cities in Brazil

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Data refreshes every 6 hours. Forecast: Open-Meteo. Zone risk: NOAA data and documented El Niño patterns.

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