El Niño Observatory
El Niño conditions are present and being monitored · Niño 3.4 +1.3 °C

El Niño Observatory Monitored cities Manaus

El Niño in ManausAM · Brazil

Current El Niño risk

Attention level: HighCritical · Drought / heat / fire risk1 day(s) with heavy rain in a flood-prone zone

Manaus is inside the projected impact zone Amazon & Northeast Brazil.

Suppressed convection brings severe drought, record-low rivers, fires and crop failure across the Amazon basin and the semi-arid Northeast.

Next 14 days in Manaus

14 of the next 14 days show a 60%+ chance of rain; 1 with heavy rain.

Wed
10
100%
4mm
Thu
11
60%
·
Fri
12
75%
1mm
Sat
13
78%
2mm
Sun
14
95%
5mm
Mon
15
96%
5mm
Tue
16
96%
14mm
Wed
17
91%
3mm
Thu
18
78%
2mm
Fri
19
67%
1mm
Sat
20
70%
4mm
Sun
21
68%
2mm
Mon
22
71%
2mm
Tue
23
74%
1mm

% is the chance of rain that day. mm is the expected amount.

Areas with flood history in Manaus

  • Santa Etelvina: Repeated heavy-rain flooding; 2026 reports said it was the most affected area
  • Educandos: Low-lying riverside area hit annually by river flooding and high-water inundation
  • São Jorge: Flood-prone riverside neighborhood affected by Rio Negro overflow and alagamentos
  • Mauazinho: Included among neighborhoods repeatedly exposed to flooding and other hydrologic risk
  • Raiz: Documented as one of the neighborhoods impacted yearly by floodwaters and alagamentos
  • Presidente Vargas: River rise regularly affects the area, especially Matinha and Bariri communities

Sources: [1] [2] [3] [4]

AI-generated list using web search (Perplexity Sonar) from news and public sources. Use as a starting reference, not an official risk map.

What you should do

  • Store drinking water and cut non-essential use now, before restrictions arrive.
  • Never burn waste or vegetation: fire risk is sharply elevated in dry spells.
  • If you depend on agriculture, plan for reduced rainfall this season.
  • Watch for water-rationing announcements from your utility.
  • Always follow your national meteorological service and local civil defense. Their warnings override anything on this page.

Emergency kit: what to have ready

Emergency numbers

Numbers are national defaults; some regions use local variants. Confirm with local authorities.

Get alerts for your city

We watch the data so you don't have to. Get an email when a flood signal or a major El Niño change affects your area.

Frequently asked questions

Is Manaus affected by El Niño?

Yes. Manaus sits in the documented impact zone Amazon & Northeast Brazil: Suppressed convection brings severe drought, record-low rivers, fires and crop failure across the Amazon basin and the semi-arid Northeast.

Will it rain in Manaus in the coming days?

The current 14-day forecast shows 14 days with a 60%+ chance of rain and 1 days with heavy rain. Probabilities update every 6 hours.

What should residents of Manaus do?

Store drinking water and cut non-essential use now, before restrictions arrive. Never burn waste or vegetation: fire risk is sharply elevated in dry spells. Always follow your national meteorological service and local civil defense. Their warnings override anything on this page.

Other cities in Brazil

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Data refreshes every 6 hours. Forecast: Open-Meteo. Zone risk: NOAA data and documented El Niño patterns.

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