El Niño Observatory
El Niño conditions are present and being monitored · Niño 3.4 +1.3 °C

El Niño Observatory Monitored cities Joinville

El Niño in JoinvilleSC · Brazil

Current El Niño risk

Attention level: HighCritical · Flooding / extreme rain2 day(s) with heavy rain in a flood-prone zone

Joinville is inside the projected impact zone Southern Brazil, Uruguay & NE Argentina.

A strengthened subtropical jet brings persistent extreme rainfall. The 2023-24 Rio Grande do Sul floods are the canonical signature.

Next 14 days in Joinville

3 of the next 14 days show a 60%+ chance of rain; 2 with heavy rain.

Wed
10
100%
18mm
Thu
11
100%
7mm
Fri
12
98%
21mm
Sat
13
4%
·
Sun
14
29%
1mm
Mon
15
42%
1mm
Tue
16
22%
2mm
Wed
17
4%
·
Thu
18
10%
·
Fri
19
46%
8mm
Sat
20
51%
·
Sun
21
35%
·
Mon
22
25%
·
Tue
23
22%
·

% is the chance of rain that day. mm is the expected amount.

Areas with flood history in Joinville

  • Boehmerwald: Low-lying zone in the Itaum basin, with homes flooded in past events
  • Itaum: Repeated flood impacts from the Itaum river basin and low-lying streets
  • Guanabara: Flood-prone area in the Itaum and Itaum-Mirim basins
  • Fátima: Flooding recurs in low areas along the Itaum basin
  • Anita Garibaldi: Frequent alagamentos from heavy rain and Jaguarão stream overflows
  • Dona Francisca Street: Street flooding from the Cubatão basin and rising water

Sources: [1] [2] [3] [4]

AI-generated list using web search (Perplexity Sonar) from news and public sources. Use as a starting reference, not an official risk map.

What you should do

  • Learn your neighborhood's flood-prone streets and the fastest route to higher ground.
  • Never walk or drive through floodwater: 15 cm of moving water can knock you down.
  • Keep documents, medication and chargers in a waterproof bag, ready to grab.
  • Sign up for your city's official rain/flood alerts (SMS or app) today.
  • Always follow your national meteorological service and local civil defense. Their warnings override anything on this page.

Emergency kit: what to have ready

Emergency numbers

Numbers are national defaults; some regions use local variants. Confirm with local authorities.

Get alerts for your city

We watch the data so you don't have to. Get an email when a flood signal or a major El Niño change affects your area.

Frequently asked questions

Is Joinville affected by El Niño?

Yes. Joinville sits in the documented impact zone Southern Brazil, Uruguay & NE Argentina: A strengthened subtropical jet brings persistent extreme rainfall. The 2023-24 Rio Grande do Sul floods are the canonical signature.

Will it rain in Joinville in the coming days?

The current 14-day forecast shows 3 days with a 60%+ chance of rain and 2 days with heavy rain. Probabilities update every 6 hours.

What should residents of Joinville do?

Learn your neighborhood's flood-prone streets and the fastest route to higher ground. Never walk or drive through floodwater: 15 cm of moving water can knock you down. Always follow your national meteorological service and local civil defense. Their warnings override anything on this page.

Other cities in Brazil

AracajuBalneário CamboriúBelémBelo HorizonteBlumenauBoa VistaBrasíliaCampo GrandeCascavelCaxias do Sul

Data refreshes every 6 hours. Forecast: Open-Meteo. Zone risk: NOAA data and documented El Niño patterns.

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