El Niño Observatory
El Niño conditions are present and being monitored · Niño 3.4 +1.3 °C

El Niño Observatory Monitored cities Jalisco Guadalajara

El Niño in GuadalajaraJalisco · Mexico

Current El Niño risk

Attention level: ModerateWarning · Drought / heat / fire riskDrought-prone zone; the rain in this forecast eases short-term pressure

Guadalajara is inside the projected impact zone Northern & Central Mexico.

El Niño winters tend to bring drought and heat to northern and central Mexico, stressing reservoirs, agriculture and city water supplies.

Next 14 days in Guadalajara

10 of the next 14 days show a 60%+ chance of rain; 4 with heavy rain.

% is the chance of rain that day. The word shows how strong that rain should be. Tap a day for details.

Areas with drought and water-shortage history in Guadalajara

Oblatos

Oblatos

Cuts and recurring lack of water; also reports of heat and drought in the dry season

Santa Rosa

Santa Rosa

Reported with several days without water in the eastern area of Guadalajara

San Vicente

San Vicente

Reported with several days without water in the eastern area of Guadalajara

Miravalle

Miravalle

Affected by SIAPA mega-cuts and by historical tension in supply

El Dean

El Dean

Included in multiple lists of neighborhoods with water service suspension

La Normal

La Normal

Repeatedly appears in SIAPA water cuts and public reports

Sources: [1] [2] [3] [4] · Images: Google Street View. They show the street on a normal day, not during a flood. AI-generated list using web search (Perplexity Sonar) from news and public sources. Use as a starting reference, not an official risk map.

What you should do

  • Store drinking water and cut non-essential use now, before restrictions arrive.
  • Never burn waste or vegetation: fire risk is sharply elevated in dry spells.
  • If you depend on agriculture, plan for reduced rainfall this season.
  • Watch for water-rationing announcements from your utility.
  • Always follow your national meteorological service and local civil defense. Their warnings override anything on this page.

Emergency kit: what to have ready

Emergency numbers

Numbers are national defaults; some regions use local variants. Confirm with local authorities.

Official monitoring agencies

SMN / CONAGUA

National weather service

Visit

CENAPRED

Civil defense and emergencies

Visit

NOAA Climate Prediction Center

Global ENSO reference

Visit

IRI, Columbia University

Global ENSO reference

Visit

Get alerts for your city

We watch the data so you don't have to. Get an email when a flood signal or a major El Niño change affects your area.

Frequently asked questions

Is Guadalajara affected by El Niño?

Yes. Guadalajara sits in the documented impact zone Northern & Central Mexico: El Niño winters tend to bring drought and heat to northern and central Mexico, stressing reservoirs, agriculture and city water supplies.

Will it rain in Guadalajara in the coming days?

The current 14-day forecast shows 10 days with a 60%+ chance of rain and 4 days with heavy rain. Probabilities update every 6 hours.

What should residents of Guadalajara do?

Store drinking water and cut non-essential use now, before restrictions arrive. Never burn waste or vegetation: fire risk is sharply elevated in dry spells. Always follow your national meteorological service and local civil defense. Their warnings override anything on this page.

Other cities in Mexico

ChihuahuaCiudad JuárezCuliacánHermosilloLeónMexico CityMonterreyPueblaQuerétaroSan Luis Potosí

Data refreshes every 6 hours. Forecast: Open-Meteo. Zone risk: NOAA data and documented El Niño patterns.

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