El Niño Observatory
El Niño conditions are present and being monitored · Niño 3.4 +1.3 °C

El Niño Observatory Monitored cities CDMX Mexico City

El Niño in Mexico CityCDMX · Mexico

Current El Niño risk

Attention level: ModerateWarning · Drought / heat / fire riskDrought-prone zone; the rain in this forecast eases short-term pressure

Mexico City is inside the projected impact zone Northern & Central Mexico.

El Niño winters tend to bring drought and heat to northern and central Mexico, stressing reservoirs, agriculture and city water supplies.

Next 14 days in Mexico City

14 of the next 14 days show a 60%+ chance of rain; 1 with heavy rain.

% is the chance of rain that day. The word shows how strong that rain should be. Tap a day for details.

Areas with drought and water-shortage history in Mexico City

Iztapalapa

Iztapalapa

Recurrent rationing and prolonged outages; also high risk of fires during the dry season

Xochimilco

Xochimilco

Chronic water scarcity and restrictions; canals and nearby slopes with fires during the dry season

Tlalpan

Tlalpan

Neighborhoods with water rationing and frequent cutoffs; wooded area with recurrent fires during dry spells

Magdalena Contreras

Magdalena Contreras

Appears among the main areas with water rationing; ravine areas with fires during the dry season

Gustavo A. Madero

Gustavo A. Madero

Included in water restrictions in several neighborhoods; nearby dry slopes increase fire risk

Coyoacán

Coyoacán

Documented cases of water shortages in neighborhoods like Santo Domingo and intermittent outages

Sources: [1] [2] [3] [4] · Images: Google Street View. They show the street on a normal day, not during a flood. AI-generated list using web search (Perplexity Sonar) from news and public sources. Use as a starting reference, not an official risk map.

What you should do

  • Store drinking water and cut non-essential use now, before restrictions arrive.
  • Never burn waste or vegetation: fire risk is sharply elevated in dry spells.
  • If you depend on agriculture, plan for reduced rainfall this season.
  • Watch for water-rationing announcements from your utility.
  • Always follow your national meteorological service and local civil defense. Their warnings override anything on this page.

Emergency kit: what to have ready

Emergency numbers

Numbers are national defaults; some regions use local variants. Confirm with local authorities.

Official monitoring agencies

SMN / CONAGUA

National weather service

Visit

CENAPRED

Civil defense and emergencies

Visit

NOAA Climate Prediction Center

Global ENSO reference

Visit

IRI, Columbia University

Global ENSO reference

Visit

Get alerts for your city

We watch the data so you don't have to. Get an email when a flood signal or a major El Niño change affects your area.

Frequently asked questions

Is Mexico City affected by El Niño?

Yes. Mexico City sits in the documented impact zone Northern & Central Mexico: El Niño winters tend to bring drought and heat to northern and central Mexico, stressing reservoirs, agriculture and city water supplies.

Will it rain in Mexico City in the coming days?

The current 14-day forecast shows 14 days with a 60%+ chance of rain and 1 days with heavy rain. Probabilities update every 6 hours.

What should residents of Mexico City do?

Store drinking water and cut non-essential use now, before restrictions arrive. Never burn waste or vegetation: fire risk is sharply elevated in dry spells. Always follow your national meteorological service and local civil defense. Their warnings override anything on this page.

Other cities in Mexico

ChihuahuaCiudad JuárezCuliacánGuadalajaraHermosilloLeónMonterreyPueblaQuerétaroSan Luis Potosí

Data refreshes every 6 hours. Forecast: Open-Meteo. Zone risk: NOAA data and documented El Niño patterns.

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