El Niño Observatory
El Niño conditions are present and being monitored · Niño 3.4 +1.3 °C

El Niño Observatory Monitored cities Nuevo León Monterrey

El Niño in MonterreyNuevo León · Mexico

Current El Niño risk

Attention level: ModerateWarning · Drought / heat / fire riskDrought-prone zone; the rain in this forecast eases short-term pressure

Monterrey is inside the projected impact zone Northern & Central Mexico.

El Niño winters tend to bring drought and heat to northern and central Mexico, stressing reservoirs, agriculture and city water supplies.

Next 14 days in Monterrey

4 of the next 14 days show a 60%+ chance of rain; 2 with heavy rain.

% is the chance of rain that day. The word shows how strong that rain should be. Tap a day for details.

Areas with drought and water-shortage history in Monterrey

Colonia 1 de Junio

Colonia 1 de Junio

No water at the tap for periods of four weeks due to the historic drought in Monterrey.

Zona Metropolitana de Monterrey

Zona Metropolitana de Monterrey

Seven-hour daily water rationing due to lack of rain and prolonged drought since 2015.

Cerro Prieto y La Boca

Cerro Prieto y La Boca

Dams with low water levels that supply the city, causing scarcity and severe rationing.

Colonias periféricas de Monterrey

Colonias periféricas de Monterrey

More than 1.3 million inhabitants affected by water deficit, with recurrent shortages in marginal areas.

Santiago y Santiago (presa La Boca)

Santiago y Santiago (presa La Boca)

Municipality with moderate drought affecting the water supply to the Monterrey metropolitan area.

Santa Catarina

Santa Catarina

Municipality with moderate drought impacting water access in the Monterrey metropolitan region.

Sources: [1] [2] [3] [4] · Images: Google Street View. They show the street on a normal day, not during a flood. AI-generated list using web search (Perplexity Sonar) from news and public sources. Use as a starting reference, not an official risk map.

What you should do

  • Store drinking water and cut non-essential use now, before restrictions arrive.
  • Never burn waste or vegetation: fire risk is sharply elevated in dry spells.
  • If you depend on agriculture, plan for reduced rainfall this season.
  • Watch for water-rationing announcements from your utility.
  • Always follow your national meteorological service and local civil defense. Their warnings override anything on this page.

Emergency kit: what to have ready

Emergency numbers

Numbers are national defaults; some regions use local variants. Confirm with local authorities.

Official monitoring agencies

SMN / CONAGUA

National weather service

Visit

CENAPRED

Civil defense and emergencies

Visit

NOAA Climate Prediction Center

Global ENSO reference

Visit

IRI, Columbia University

Global ENSO reference

Visit

Get alerts for your city

We watch the data so you don't have to. Get an email when a flood signal or a major El Niño change affects your area.

Frequently asked questions

Is Monterrey affected by El Niño?

Yes. Monterrey sits in the documented impact zone Northern & Central Mexico: El Niño winters tend to bring drought and heat to northern and central Mexico, stressing reservoirs, agriculture and city water supplies.

Will it rain in Monterrey in the coming days?

The current 14-day forecast shows 4 days with a 60%+ chance of rain and 2 days with heavy rain. Probabilities update every 6 hours.

What should residents of Monterrey do?

Store drinking water and cut non-essential use now, before restrictions arrive. Never burn waste or vegetation: fire risk is sharply elevated in dry spells. Always follow your national meteorological service and local civil defense. Their warnings override anything on this page.

Other cities in Mexico

ChihuahuaCiudad JuárezCuliacánGuadalajaraHermosilloLeónMexico CityPueblaQuerétaroSan Luis Potosí

Data refreshes every 6 hours. Forecast: Open-Meteo. Zone risk: NOAA data and documented El Niño patterns.

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