El Niño Observatory
El Niño conditions are present and being monitored · Niño 3.4 +2.1 °C

El Niño Observatory Monitored cities East Java Surabaya

El Niño in SurabayaEast Java · Indonesia

Current El Niño risk

Attention level: HighCritical · Drought / water / fire risk14 consecutive dry days in the forecast

Surabaya is inside the projected impact zone Indonesia & Malaysia.

Severe drought dries peatlands, fuelling large-scale forest fires and transboundary haze; rice and palm yields fall.

Next 14 days in Surabaya

0 of the next 14 days show a 60%+ chance of rain; 0 with heavy rain.

% is the chance of rain that day. The word shows how strong that rain should be. Tap a day for details.

Local news Surabaya

Recent coverage that mentions your area and this season's weather risks.

Local videos Surabaya

Recent local coverage and preparedness clips for your area.

Areas with drought and water-shortage history in Surabaya

East Surabaya

East Surabaya

Documented recurring water shortages and projected dry-season deficits in studies.

Rungkut

Rungkut

Part of East Surabaya's built-up zone with repeated water-supply deficits.

Mulyorejo

Mulyorejo

East Surabaya district cited in water-shortage studies and supply-demand gaps.

Gunung Anyar

Gunung Anyar

East Surabaya area facing recurring water shortage as urban demand outpaces supply.

Sukolilo

Sukolilo

East Surabaya district included in documented recurring water deficit analysis.

Surabaya dry-season fringe areas

Surabaya dry-season fringe areas

Nearby peri-urban zones face recurring dry-season fire risk and hotspot conditions.

Sources: [1] [2] [3] [4] · Images: Google Street View. They show the street on a normal day, not during a flood. AI-generated list using web search (Perplexity Sonar) from news and public sources. Use as a starting reference, not an official risk map.

What you should do

  • Store drinking water and cut non-essential use now, before restrictions arrive.
  • Never burn waste or vegetation: fire risk is sharply elevated in dry spells.
  • If you depend on agriculture, plan for reduced rainfall this season.
  • Watch for water-rationing announcements from your utility.
  • Always follow your national meteorological service and local civil defense. Their warnings override anything on this page.

Emergency kit: what to have ready

Emergency numbers

Numbers are national defaults; some regions use local variants. Confirm with local authorities.

Official monitoring agencies

BMKG

National weather service

Visit

BNPB

Civil defense and emergencies

Visit

NOAA Climate Prediction Center

Global ENSO reference

Visit

IRI, Columbia University

Global ENSO reference

Visit

Get alerts for your city

We watch the data so you don't have to. Get an email when a flood signal or a major El Niño change affects your area.

Frequently asked questions

Is Surabaya affected by El Niño?

Yes. Surabaya sits in the documented impact zone Indonesia & Malaysia: Severe drought dries peatlands, fuelling large-scale forest fires and transboundary haze; rice and palm yields fall.

Will it rain in Surabaya in the coming days?

The current 14-day forecast shows 0 days with a 60%+ chance of rain and 0 days with heavy rain. Probabilities update every 6 hours.

What should residents of Surabaya do?

Store drinking water and cut non-essential use now, before restrictions arrive. Never burn waste or vegetation: fire risk is sharply elevated in dry spells. Always follow your national meteorological service and local civil defense. Their warnings override anything on this page.

Other cities in Indonesia

Bandar LampungBandungBanjarmasinBogorDenpasarJakartaMakassarMalangMedanPadang

Data refreshes every 6 hours. Forecast: Open-Meteo. Zone risk: NOAA data and documented El Niño patterns.

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