El Niño Observatory
El Niño conditions are present and being monitored · Niño 3.4 +2.1 °C

El Niño Observatory Monitored cities North Sumatra Medan

El Niño in MedanNorth Sumatra · Indonesia

Current El Niño risk

Attention level: HighCritical · Drought / water / fire risk0 consecutive dry days in the forecast

Medan is inside the projected impact zone Indonesia & Malaysia.

Severe drought dries peatlands, fuelling large-scale forest fires and transboundary haze; rice and palm yields fall.

Next 14 days in Medan

14 of the next 14 days show a 60%+ chance of rain; 2 with heavy rain.

% is the chance of rain that day. The word shows how strong that rain should be. Tap a day for details. Depth is indicative, based on rainfall intensity, not an official flood forecast.

Local news Medan

Recent coverage that mentions your area and this season's weather risks.

Local videos Medan

Recent local coverage and preparedness clips for your area.

Areas with drought and water-shortage history in Medan

Medan Belawan

Medan Belawan

Recurring water access problems and dry-season fire risk in coastal settlements

Ujung Kerang, Medan Belawan

Ujung Kerang, Medan Belawan

Public sources report uneven clean-water distribution and poor water quality

Kampung Nelayan Seberang, Medan Belawan

Kampung Nelayan Seberang, Medan Belawan

Public sources report uneven clean-water distribution and poor water quality

Medan Amplas

Medan Amplas

Hit by total water cutoff during 2026 citywide clean-water crisis

Medan Kota

Medan Kota

Hit by total water cutoff during 2026 citywide clean-water crisis

Medan Johor

Medan Johor

Repeated outages from pipeline damage and landslide-related supply disruption

Sources: [1] [2] [3] [4] · Images: Google Street View. They show the street on a normal day, not during a flood. AI-generated list using web search (Perplexity Sonar) from news and public sources. Use as a starting reference, not an official risk map.

What you should do

  • Store drinking water and cut non-essential use now, before restrictions arrive.
  • Never burn waste or vegetation: fire risk is sharply elevated in dry spells.
  • If you depend on agriculture, plan for reduced rainfall this season.
  • Watch for water-rationing announcements from your utility.
  • Always follow your national meteorological service and local civil defense. Their warnings override anything on this page.

Emergency kit: what to have ready

Emergency numbers

Numbers are national defaults; some regions use local variants. Confirm with local authorities.

Official monitoring agencies

BMKG

National weather service

Visit

BNPB

Civil defense and emergencies

Visit

NOAA Climate Prediction Center

Global ENSO reference

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IRI, Columbia University

Global ENSO reference

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Get alerts for your city

We watch the data so you don't have to. Get an email when a flood signal or a major El Niño change affects your area.

Frequently asked questions

Is Medan affected by El Niño?

Yes. Medan sits in the documented impact zone Indonesia & Malaysia: Severe drought dries peatlands, fuelling large-scale forest fires and transboundary haze; rice and palm yields fall.

Will it rain in Medan in the coming days?

The current 14-day forecast shows 14 days with a 60%+ chance of rain and 2 days with heavy rain. Probabilities update every 6 hours.

What should residents of Medan do?

Store drinking water and cut non-essential use now, before restrictions arrive. Never burn waste or vegetation: fire risk is sharply elevated in dry spells. Always follow your national meteorological service and local civil defense. Their warnings override anything on this page.

Other cities in Indonesia

Bandar LampungBandungBanjarmasinBogorDenpasarJakartaMakassarMalangPadangPalembang

Data refreshes every 6 hours. Forecast: Open-Meteo. Zone risk: NOAA data and documented El Niño patterns.

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