El Niño Observatory
El Niño conditions are present and being monitored · Niño 3.4 +2.1 °C

El Niño Observatory Monitored cities Metro Manila Manila

El Niño in ManilaMetro Manila · Philippines

Current El Niño risk

Attention level: ModerateWarning · Drought / water / fire riskDrought-prone zone; the rain in this forecast eases short-term pressure

Manila is inside the projected impact zone Philippines.

Delayed rains and stronger dry season hit rice production and hydropower; water rationing is common in strong events.

Next 14 days in Manila

14 of the next 14 days show a 60%+ chance of rain; 3 with heavy rain.

% is the chance of rain that day. The word shows how strong that rain should be. Tap a day for details. Depth is indicative, based on rainfall intensity, not an official flood forecast. Feels-like temperature from the forecast, not an official heat-health warning.

Local news Manila

Recent coverage that mentions your area and this season's weather risks.

Local videos Manila

Recent local coverage and preparedness clips for your area.

Areas with drought and water-shortage history in Manila

Quezon City, especially Holy Spirit, Tandang Sora, Pasong Tamo, Project 6, UP Vi

Quezon City, especially Holy Spirit, Tandang Sora, Pasong Tamo, Project 6, UP Vi

Repeated low pressure and severe cuts; 2019 and later outages hit many barangays[1][2][5][7]

Mandaluyong City

Mandaluyong City

2019 crisis reported 12 barangays with severe water cuts, among the worst hit[1][3][4]

Manila, west and central portions

Manila, west and central portions

Parts of Manila were included in major 2010, 2019 and later Metro Manila water shortage reports[3][4][6]

Makati City, especially Bangkal, Pio del Pilar, San Isidro, San Lorenzo

Makati City, especially Bangkal, Pio del Pilar, San Isidro, San Lorenzo

Recurring low pressure or outages in 2019 and 2022, plus maintenance shutdowns[3][4][8]

Pasay City, including Barangays 149 to 153 and nearby areas

Pasay City, including Barangays 149 to 153 and nearby areas

Hit by low pressure to no water in 2022 and included in broader shortage reports[8][4]

Marikina, Cainta and Antipolo corridor

Marikina, Cainta and Antipolo corridor

Frequent supply interruptions in dry-season shortages and maintenance-related outages[3][5][7]

Sources: [1] [2] [3] [4] · Images: Google Street View. They show the street on a normal day, not during a flood. AI-generated list using web search (Perplexity Sonar) from news and public sources. Use as a starting reference, not an official risk map.

What you should do

  • Store drinking water and cut non-essential use now, before restrictions arrive.
  • Never burn waste or vegetation: fire risk is sharply elevated in dry spells.
  • If you depend on agriculture, plan for reduced rainfall this season.
  • Watch for water-rationing announcements from your utility.
  • Always follow your national meteorological service and local civil defense. Their warnings override anything on this page.

Emergency kit: what to have ready

Emergency numbers

Numbers are national defaults; some regions use local variants. Confirm with local authorities.

Official monitoring agencies

PAGASA

National weather service

Visit

NDRRMC

Civil defense and emergencies

Visit

NOAA Climate Prediction Center

Global ENSO reference

Visit

IRI, Columbia University

Global ENSO reference

Visit

Get alerts for your city

We watch the data so you don't have to. Get an email when a flood signal or a major El Niño change affects your area.

Frequently asked questions

Is Manila affected by El Niño?

Yes. Manila sits in the documented impact zone Philippines: Delayed rains and stronger dry season hit rice production and hydropower; water rationing is common in strong events.

Will it rain in Manila in the coming days?

The current 14-day forecast shows 14 days with a 60%+ chance of rain and 3 days with heavy rain. Probabilities update every 6 hours.

What should residents of Manila do?

Store drinking water and cut non-essential use now, before restrictions arrive. Never burn waste or vegetation: fire risk is sharply elevated in dry spells. Always follow your national meteorological service and local civil defense. Their warnings override anything on this page.

Other cities in Philippines

BacolodCagayan de OroCebu CityDavao CityIloilo CityZamboanga City

Data refreshes every 6 hours. Forecast: Open-Meteo. Zone risk: NOAA data and documented El Niño patterns.

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