El Niño Observatory
El Niño conditions are present and being monitored · Niño 3.4 +2.1 °C

El Niño Observatory Monitored cities Misamis Oriental Cagayan de Oro

El Niño in Cagayan de OroMisamis Oriental · Philippines

Current El Niño risk

Attention level: ModerateWarning · Drought / water / fire riskDrought-prone zone; the rain in this forecast eases short-term pressure

Cagayan de Oro is inside the projected impact zone Philippines.

Delayed rains and stronger dry season hit rice production and hydropower; water rationing is common in strong events.

Next 14 days in Cagayan de Oro

14 of the next 14 days show a 60%+ chance of rain; 2 with heavy rain.

% is the chance of rain that day. The word shows how strong that rain should be. Tap a day for details. Depth is indicative, based on rainfall intensity, not an official flood forecast.

River flood risk: GloFAS model: river flow near you is forecast to run high vs recent levels. (Modeled river-flow estimate (GloFAS global flood model), not an official flood warning.)

Local news Cagayan de Oro

Recent coverage that mentions your area and this season's weather risks.

Local videos Cagayan de Oro

Recent local coverage and preparedness clips for your area.

Areas with drought and water-shortage history in Cagayan de Oro

Carmen

Carmen

Repeatedly listed in city water shortages and service interruptions since 2013 and 2024

Gusa

Gusa

Frequent low-to-no water advisories in citywide shortages and line repair disruptions

Iponan

Iponan

Regularly included in west-side water cuts and low-pressure advisories

Bulua

Bulua

Recurring west-area water shortages with little to no daytime supply

Canitoan

Canitoan

Documented in multiple COWD interruption notices and shortage reports

Lumbia

Lumbia

Appears in repeated city water-cut advisories affecting west-side barangays

Sources: [1] [2] [3] [4] · Images: Google Street View. They show the street on a normal day, not during a flood. AI-generated list using web search (Perplexity Sonar) from news and public sources. Use as a starting reference, not an official risk map.

What you should do

  • Store drinking water and cut non-essential use now, before restrictions arrive.
  • Never burn waste or vegetation: fire risk is sharply elevated in dry spells.
  • If you depend on agriculture, plan for reduced rainfall this season.
  • Watch for water-rationing announcements from your utility.
  • Always follow your national meteorological service and local civil defense. Their warnings override anything on this page.

Emergency kit: what to have ready

Emergency numbers

Numbers are national defaults; some regions use local variants. Confirm with local authorities.

Official monitoring agencies

PAGASA

National weather service

Visit

NDRRMC

Civil defense and emergencies

Visit

NOAA Climate Prediction Center

Global ENSO reference

Visit

IRI, Columbia University

Global ENSO reference

Visit

Get alerts for your city

We watch the data so you don't have to. Get an email when a flood signal or a major El Niño change affects your area.

Frequently asked questions

Is Cagayan de Oro affected by El Niño?

Yes. Cagayan de Oro sits in the documented impact zone Philippines: Delayed rains and stronger dry season hit rice production and hydropower; water rationing is common in strong events.

Will it rain in Cagayan de Oro in the coming days?

The current 14-day forecast shows 14 days with a 60%+ chance of rain and 2 days with heavy rain. Probabilities update every 6 hours.

What should residents of Cagayan de Oro do?

Store drinking water and cut non-essential use now, before restrictions arrive. Never burn waste or vegetation: fire risk is sharply elevated in dry spells. Always follow your national meteorological service and local civil defense. Their warnings override anything on this page.

Other cities in Philippines

BacolodCebu CityDavao CityIloilo CityManilaZamboanga City

Data refreshes every 6 hours. Forecast: Open-Meteo. Zone risk: NOAA data and documented El Niño patterns.

Full dashboard