El Niño Observatory
El Niño conditions are present and being monitored · Niño 3.4 +2.1 °C

El Niño Observatory Monitored cities Tumbes Tumbes

El Niño in TumbesTumbes · Peru

Current El Niño risk

Attention level: ModerateCritical · Flooding / extreme rainRisk zone, but no flood signal in the next 14 days

Tumbes is inside the projected impact zone Peru & Ecuador coast.

Warm coastal waters drive torrential rain, flash floods and landslides. Historically the hardest-hit zone of any El Niño.

Next 14 days in Tumbes

1 of the next 14 days show a 60%+ chance of rain; 0 with heavy rain.

% is the chance of rain that day. The word shows how strong that rain should be. Tap a day for details. Depth is indicative, based on rainfall intensity, not an official flood forecast.

River flood risk: GloFAS model: river flow near you is forecast to run slightly elevated vs recent levels. (Modeled river-flow estimate (GloFAS global flood model), not an official flood warning.)

Local news Tumbes

Recent coverage that mentions your area and this season's weather risks.

Local videos Tumbes

Recent local coverage and preparedness clips for your area.

Areas with flood history in Tumbes

Calle Arica

Calle Arica

Recurrent flooding due to lack of storm drainage and heavy rains

Barrio San José

Barrio San José

Damage from overflow of the Tumbes River, with homes being the most affected

Barrio Bellavista

Barrio Bellavista

Area near the center affected by overflows and flooding

Puerto El Cura

Puerto El Cura

Risk of overflow on the right bank of the Tumbes River

Sector Thomas Arizola

Sector Thomas Arizola

Flooding due to increased flow and overflow of the Zarumilla River

Ampliación Thomas Arizola

Ampliación Thomas Arizola

Flooding due to overflow of the Zarumilla River during heavy rains

Sources: [1] [2] [3] [4] · Images: Google Street View. They show the street on a normal day, not during a flood. AI-generated list using web search (Perplexity Sonar) from news and public sources. Use as a starting reference, not an official risk map.

What you should do

  • Learn your neighborhood's flood-prone streets and the fastest route to higher ground.
  • Never walk or drive through floodwater: 15 cm of moving water can knock you down.
  • Keep documents, medication and chargers in a waterproof bag, ready to grab.
  • Sign up for your city's official rain/flood alerts (SMS or app) today.
  • Always follow your national meteorological service and local civil defense. Their warnings override anything on this page.

Emergency kit: what to have ready

Emergency numbers

Numbers are national defaults; some regions use local variants. Confirm with local authorities.

Official monitoring agencies

SENAMHI

National weather service

Visit

INDECI

Civil defense and emergencies

Visit

NOAA Climate Prediction Center

Global ENSO reference

Visit

IRI, Columbia University

Global ENSO reference

Visit

Get alerts for your city

We watch the data so you don't have to. Get an email when a flood signal or a major El Niño change affects your area.

Frequently asked questions

Is Tumbes affected by El Niño?

Yes. Tumbes sits in the documented impact zone Peru & Ecuador coast: Warm coastal waters drive torrential rain, flash floods and landslides. Historically the hardest-hit zone of any El Niño.

Will it rain in Tumbes in the coming days?

The current 14-day forecast shows 1 days with a 60%+ chance of rain and 0 days with heavy rain. Probabilities update every 6 hours.

What should residents of Tumbes do?

Learn your neighborhood's flood-prone streets and the fastest route to higher ground. Never walk or drive through floodwater: 15 cm of moving water can knock you down. Always follow your national meteorological service and local civil defense. Their warnings override anything on this page.

Other cities in Peru

ArequipaChiclayoChimboteCuscoIquitosLimaPiuraSullanaTrujillo

Data refreshes every 6 hours. Forecast: Open-Meteo. Zone risk: NOAA data and documented El Niño patterns.

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