El Niño Observatory
El Niño conditions are present and being monitored · Niño 3.4 +1.3 °C

El Niño Observatory Monitored cities Gujarat Surat

El Niño in SuratGujarat · India

Current El Niño risk

Attention level: ModerateWarning · Drought / heat / fire riskDrought-prone zone; the rain in this forecast eases short-term pressure

Surat is inside the projected impact zone India & Pakistan: monsoon region.

El Niño years tend to weaken the southwest monsoon, cutting rainfall over the agricultural heartland and stressing water and power supplies.

Next 14 days in Surat

4 of the next 14 days show a 60%+ chance of rain; 0 with heavy rain.

% is the chance of rain that day. The word shows how strong that rain should be. Tap a day for details.

Areas with drought and water-shortage history in Surat

Sarthana

Sarthana

Repeated Surat water cuts during maintenance and summer shortages reported in news.

Udhana

Udhana

Documented water supply cuts tied to pipeline and utility works in Surat news reports.

Varachha

Varachha

Frequent water shortage notices and supply interruptions reported by local media.

Limbayat zone

Limbayat zone

Parts of Limbayat have faced scheduled water cuts during Surat maintenance work.

Rander

Rander

Water cuts reported during Metro and pipeline shifting works affecting many residents.

Athwa zone, including Vesu and Piplod

Athwa zone, including Vesu and Piplod

Zone-wide supply interruptions reported from underground tank connection works.

Sources: [1] [2] [3] [4] · Images: Google Street View. They show the street on a normal day, not during a flood. AI-generated list using web search (Perplexity Sonar) from news and public sources. Use as a starting reference, not an official risk map.

What you should do

  • Store drinking water and cut non-essential use now, before restrictions arrive.
  • Never burn waste or vegetation: fire risk is sharply elevated in dry spells.
  • If you depend on agriculture, plan for reduced rainfall this season.
  • Watch for water-rationing announcements from your utility.
  • Always follow your national meteorological service and local civil defense. Their warnings override anything on this page.

Emergency kit: what to have ready

Emergency numbers

Numbers are national defaults; some regions use local variants. Confirm with local authorities.

Official monitoring agencies

India Meteorological Department

National weather service

Visit

NDMA India

Civil defense and emergencies

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NOAA Climate Prediction Center

Global ENSO reference

Visit

IRI, Columbia University

Global ENSO reference

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Get alerts for your city

We watch the data so you don't have to. Get an email when a flood signal or a major El Niño change affects your area.

Frequently asked questions

Is Surat affected by El Niño?

Yes. Surat sits in the documented impact zone India & Pakistan: monsoon region: El Niño years tend to weaken the southwest monsoon, cutting rainfall over the agricultural heartland and stressing water and power supplies.

Will it rain in Surat in the coming days?

The current 14-day forecast shows 4 days with a 60%+ chance of rain and 0 days with heavy rain. Probabilities update every 6 hours.

What should residents of Surat do?

Store drinking water and cut non-essential use now, before restrictions arrive. Never burn waste or vegetation: fire risk is sharply elevated in dry spells. Always follow your national meteorological service and local civil defense. Their warnings override anything on this page.

Other cities in India

AhmedabadBengaluruBhopalChennaiCoimbatoreDelhiHyderabadIndoreJaipurKanpur

Data refreshes every 6 hours. Forecast: Open-Meteo. Zone risk: NOAA data and documented El Niño patterns.

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