El Niño Observatory
El Niño conditions are present and being monitored · Niño 3.4 +2.1 °C

El Niño Observatory Monitored cities Nairobi Nairobi

El Niño in NairobiNairobi · Kenya

Current El Niño risk

Attention level: ModerateWarning · Flooding / extreme rainRisk zone, but no flood signal in the next 14 days

Nairobi is inside the projected impact zone Horn of Africa.

Enhanced short rains bring flooding to Kenya, Somalia and Ethiopia's lowlands, often after preceding drought, compounding displacement.

Next 14 days in Nairobi

3 of the next 14 days show a 60%+ chance of rain; 0 with heavy rain.

% is the chance of rain that day. The word shows how strong that rain should be. Tap a day for details. Depth is indicative, based on rainfall intensity, not an official flood forecast.

Local news Nairobi

Recent coverage that mentions your area and this season's weather risks.

Local videos Nairobi

Recent local coverage and preparedness clips for your area.

Areas with flood history in Nairobi

Mathare

Mathare

River corridor and dense settlement repeatedly exposed to flash flooding

Kibera

Kibera

Low-lying settlement along the Ngong River with recurrent overbank flooding

Eastleigh

Eastleigh

Listed in repeated flood reports and prone to stormwater drainage overflow

Mukuru Kwa Reuben

Mukuru Kwa Reuben

Ngong River corridor and poor drainage cause recurring inundation

Kariobangi

Kariobangi

Repeatedly flagged in flood response reports along the river network

South C

South C

Flooded by runoff and river overflow near Mutu-ini and Ngong River

Sources: [1] [2] [3] [4] · Images: Google Street View. They show the street on a normal day, not during a flood. AI-generated list using web search (Perplexity Sonar) from news and public sources. Use as a starting reference, not an official risk map.

What you should do

  • Learn your neighborhood's flood-prone streets and the fastest route to higher ground.
  • Never walk or drive through floodwater: 15 cm of moving water can knock you down.
  • Keep documents, medication and chargers in a waterproof bag, ready to grab.
  • Sign up for your city's official rain/flood alerts (SMS or app) today.
  • Always follow your national meteorological service and local civil defense. Their warnings override anything on this page.

Emergency kit: what to have ready

Emergency numbers

Numbers are national defaults; some regions use local variants. Confirm with local authorities.

Official monitoring agencies

Kenya Meteorological Department

National weather service

Visit

NDMA Kenya (drought authority)

Drought monitoring

Visit

NOAA Climate Prediction Center

Global ENSO reference

Visit

IRI, Columbia University

Global ENSO reference

Visit

Get alerts for your city

We watch the data so you don't have to. Get an email when a flood signal or a major El Niño change affects your area.

Frequently asked questions

Is Nairobi affected by El Niño?

Yes. Nairobi sits in the documented impact zone Horn of Africa: Enhanced short rains bring flooding to Kenya, Somalia and Ethiopia's lowlands, often after preceding drought, compounding displacement.

Will it rain in Nairobi in the coming days?

The current 14-day forecast shows 3 days with a 60%+ chance of rain and 0 days with heavy rain. Probabilities update every 6 hours.

What should residents of Nairobi do?

Learn your neighborhood's flood-prone streets and the fastest route to higher ground. Never walk or drive through floodwater: 15 cm of moving water can knock you down. Always follow your national meteorological service and local civil defense. Their warnings override anything on this page.

Other cities in Kenya

Mombasa

Data refreshes every 6 hours. Forecast: Open-Meteo. Zone risk: NOAA data and documented El Niño patterns.

Full dashboard