El Niño Observatory
El Niño conditions are present and being monitored · Niño 3.4 +1.3 °C

El Niño Observatory Monitored cities Guatemala City

El Niño in Guatemala CityGuatemala · Guatemala

Current El Niño risk

Attention level: ModerateWarning · Drought / heat / fire riskRisk zone, but no flood signal in the next 14 days

Guatemala City is inside the projected impact zone Central America: Dry Corridor.

Failed rains across the Dry Corridor threaten subsistence maize and bean harvests, deepening food insecurity.

Next 14 days in Guatemala City

14 of the next 14 days show a 60%+ chance of rain; 4 with heavy rain.

Wed
10
100%
12mm
Thu
11
100%
31mm
Fri
12
96%
32mm
Sat
13
94%
3mm
Sun
14
82%
7mm
Mon
15
98%
18mm
Tue
16
90%
3mm
Wed
17
83%
7mm
Thu
18
84%
5mm
Fri
19
73%
5mm
Sat
20
75%
5mm
Sun
21
86%
3mm
Mon
22
75%
14mm
Tue
23
74%
·

% is the chance of rain that day. mm is the expected amount.

Areas with flood history in Guatemala City

  • Dios es Fiel settlement, Zone 7: El Naranjo River overflowed and flooded homes during flash floods
  • El Cambray neighborhood: Built in a canyon beside the Pinula River, with repeated flooding and mudslides
  • Canyon neighborhood of Cambray, outskirts of Guatemala City: Regular rockfalls and flooding from the adjacent Pinula River
  • Southern Guatemala City, Villa Nueva corridor: Heavy rain and overflowing rivers repeatedly inundate roads and homes
  • San Miguel Petapa: Flooding from overflowed rivers after intense rain, with roads and homes submerged
  • Zone 7, near El Naranjo River: River overflow causes recurrent flash flooding in nearby settlements

Sources: [1] [2] [3] [4]

AI-generated list using web search (Perplexity Sonar) from news and public sources. Use as a starting reference, not an official risk map.

What you should do

  • Store drinking water and cut non-essential use now, before restrictions arrive.
  • Never burn waste or vegetation: fire risk is sharply elevated in dry spells.
  • If you depend on agriculture, plan for reduced rainfall this season.
  • Watch for water-rationing announcements from your utility.
  • Always follow your national meteorological service and local civil defense. Their warnings override anything on this page.

Emergency kit: what to have ready

Emergency numbers

Numbers are national defaults; some regions use local variants. Confirm with local authorities.

Get alerts for your city

We watch the data so you don't have to. Get an email when a flood signal or a major El Niño change affects your area.

Frequently asked questions

Is Guatemala City affected by El Niño?

Yes. Guatemala City sits in the documented impact zone Central America: Dry Corridor: Failed rains across the Dry Corridor threaten subsistence maize and bean harvests, deepening food insecurity.

Will it rain in Guatemala City in the coming days?

The current 14-day forecast shows 14 days with a 60%+ chance of rain and 4 days with heavy rain. Probabilities update every 6 hours.

What should residents of Guatemala City do?

Store drinking water and cut non-essential use now, before restrictions arrive. Never burn waste or vegetation: fire risk is sharply elevated in dry spells. Always follow your national meteorological service and local civil defense. Their warnings override anything on this page.

Other cities in Guatemala

Quetzaltenango

Data refreshes every 6 hours. Forecast: Open-Meteo. Zone risk: NOAA data and documented El Niño patterns.

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